The 10 most important coronavirus predictions of Dr. Faisci you need to know
Here's what the future holds the US efforts to hold Coronavirus, the Top Covid Advisor said.
Throughout the coronavirus pandemic,Anthony Fauci, MD, Director of theNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)And a member of the working group of the Coronavirus of the White House, has made several predictions on the course of the disease and how this will affect the Americans.In fact, we could argue that he had predicted Covid-19 himself: "There is no doubt that the coming administration will take place in the arena of infectious diseases," said Fauci duringA LIND SPEECHFor the Medical Center of Georgetown University in 2017. He also noted in 2016Buzzfeed News maintenance than the risk of "respiratory disease like influenzaIt's easily widespread and very deadly"Was one of his biggest concerns.
Now, like Covid-19 continues to spread throughout the United States, Fuci has made several other essential forecasts on the course that the pandemic can take. Here are 10 of its most important coronavir predictions that you should know when the country continues the fight to fight the disease. And for more information on COVID,Dr. Fauci says it's how the United States can avoid a "catastrophe" this fall.
1 We could avoid another lockdown if people blocked in public health guidelines.
Despite emerging stories ofParts and others concerning large gatherings taking place across the country, is now the time to followfundamental rulesTo prevent the propagation of COVID-19, such as practicing social distance, wear facial masks properly, practicing good hygiene, avoid big crowds and be tested if you feel sick.
"You do not have to lock again, butEveryone must be on boardTo do these five or six basic public health measures, "said Façi during an appearance onPodcast "Checking the pulse" of politicoAugust 6th.
2 Daily cases must fall to 10,000 per fall.
This is the reference that the United States must reachhave control of the pandemicBut right now, we are still in the middle of the first wave, said that Fauci said in aLive interviewwithThe AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL(Jama)August 3rd.
Currently, the United States reports approximately 50,000 to 60,000 new COVID-19 cases a day. "We have the delivery of cases," said Fauci. "We have to have these numbers. If we do not take them, we will have a very bad situation in autumn." Cold weather will force people toLess ventilated interior spaces, which can exacerbate the propagation of the virus - and the flu season alongside Covid-19 could be catastrophic for the health system. For more information on how coronaviruses spread throughout the United States,These 5 states represent nearly half of the cases of COVID of the Nation.
3 The rate of new infections could double.
The United States could experiment100,000 new cases of COVID-19 a day If the current epidemics are not contained, Fauci declaredWhile testifying before the SenateJune 30th. "It will be very disturbing, I will guarantee you that, because when you have an epidemic in part of the country, although in other parts of the country, they are vulnerable," says Fauci. "We can not just focus on these areas that have overvoltage. He puts the whole country at risk." And more likely to contract coronavirus,24 things you do every day that put you at risk of Covid.
4 A constant increase in the positive test rate is a key indicator of an overvoltage.
The positive test rate is the percentage of positive tests for COVID-19 on all tests carried out and inaccui says it's an important way to sayIf a coronavirus surge arrives.
"Before overwork, you can detect an early increase in the positive percentage for any given state," said Fauci inA recent interviewwithHoward Bauchner, MD, Chief Editor of Jama. This is whether the rate increases by only 1 or 1.5 percent, said Fauci. And in May, the World Health Organization indicated that positive test rates must remain5% or lessFor at least 14 days for States to reproduce safely.
5 The next epidemics of COVID-19 can occur in the Midwest.
Prior to the major ears in cases of COVID, this summer, south and southwestern states such as Florida, Texas, Arizona and California increased an increase in positive coronavirus test rates. "It's a sure that you are in a process where you head for a resurgence," said inAN INTERVIEW MSNBCJuly 29th. "We are starting to see that in some other states now-Kentucky, Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana."
In other words, while states like Texas and Arizona started transforming things around,The Midwest and surrounding regions now show signs of a resurgence. And for more containing the coronavirus, checkDr. Fauci says that this state has defined "a good example" to control Covid.
6 The Covid-19 pandemic can lead to positive social changes.
The necessary reform may occur as a result of greater awareness of the public surrounding theHealth inequalities specific to black communities and Latinx. For example, according toThe New York Times, There are73 Coronavirus cases for 10,000 latinx People and 62 cases coronavirus for 10,000 black people - compared to only 23 cases for 10,000 white people."Perhaps if there is a silver lining in this epidemic, it is to focus with a laser beam on theDisparities in health that we need to change, "said Façi inAn interview with bet.
7 It is possible that we know if a vaccine works in autumn.
Biotechnology companyModerntests a coronavirus vaccine that in Fuci sayscouldReceive potentially approval of food and medicine administration (FDA)October. "We hope that, as we go there, by the end of this year or the beginning of 2021, we will have at least one answer if the vaccine or vaccines, plural, are safe and efficient," said Façia meetingwithFrancis Collins, MD, Director of theNational health institutes, in July.
Fauci stressed that security and scientific integrity will not be compromised during the incredibly fast approval process. It's not yet known how long theVaccine distributionTake, but Fuci said that companies are already creating doses, so there will be a lot available for use if the vaccine is proven to be safe. And for more our answer coronavirus,This thing could "completely change the course" of Covid, says doctor.
8 We will probably have one billion doses of vaccine at the end of 2021.
Fauci said that Fauci said that it is cautiously optimistic about the progression of an effective coronavirus vaccine. "We are probably going to have tens of millions of doses at the beginning of the year (next)," said FaCiAn interview with ReutersAugust 5th."But as we arrive in 2021, the manufacturers tell us that they will have hundreds of millions and probably one billion doses by the end of 2021. So, I think the process moves at a fairly favorable pace."
9 The virus will probably not disappear completely.
A vaccine can certainly help reduce the impact of COVID-19, but it is not likely that it completely eliminates the virus. "Historically, if you get aVaccine that has a moderate degree of efficiency at highand you combine with this precaution of public health measures, we can put this behind us, "said Façi inInterview with Reuters. "I do not think we will eradicate that on the planet ... because it is such a transmissible virus, which seems unlikely."
10 It will not be the last time we live a health crisis.
Although there is still a lot of work to be done to contain Covid-19, it isNot an isolated health crisis. "I think you must assume that there are more viruses that are still hiding because we have historically know that we have had epidemics well before I'm around, even before the history of registration," said InaccuratePodcast "Checking the pulse" of politicoAugust 6th.
This could emphasize the importance of learning from this pandemic - for example, to work collectively as a community to slow the spread (that is, wearing masks and avoiding large gatherings) and to reform care health to achieve equal care in all communities. And for more information up-to-date on the pandemic,Sign up for our daily newsletter .