These states are at the worst risk of a large pusher of COVID, exceptional warnings
The spread of the very contagious delta variant could spell problems for some areas.
Nationally, the daily lifeaverage of recently reported covidation cases continues to fall at the lowest levels observed since the first days of the pandemic. The decrease in infections has allowed public life to take over the "normal" way in an unreasoned way for more than a year in some areas. However, even if the numbers plunge, an expert warns that the evolution of the conditions means that some states are at high risk of overvid overvid in the coming months.
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During an appearance on CBS 'Face the nation June 20,Scott Gottlieb, MD, former Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), discussed how theNext phase of the pandemic may not affect all parts of the United States in the same way. Rather, the rich areas to vaccinate their populations could see a sudden tip in cases.
"So Connecticut, for example, where I am, does not show any rise in infection, but the Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Missouri show very important increases in infections," he said . "It relies entirely on the amount of immunity across the population you have based on vaccination."
He also explained that the arrival of theDelta variant very contagious, which was discovered for the first time in India also means that a new wave of infections is likely to wash in areas such as these. "This variant is probably 40 to 60% more effective, more contagious than variant 1.1.7, this variant that has become widespread in the United States and caused this increase at the end of spring," he said , adding that the variant is already spreading rapidly among unvaccinated populations in the United Kingdom, especially children.
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GottlieB then cited recent data that show that conditions are initiated in some areas for new surges to go out in a few months. "When you examine the modeling that currently circulates among the epidemiologists on what we face in the fall, they predict that in a scenario where we receive only 75% of the eligible population vaccinated and have a60% more transmitted transmission variant, that this new variant delta can be ... they show an increase in infection and reaching a peak of about 20% of the infection we reached last winter, "he explained , especially since some states had trouble getting evenA dose of vaccine in half of their population.
"So about 20% of the peak in January, we will hit at some point," he clarified.
But Gottlieb was not alone in ringing the alarm on the potential of future peaks in cases. During a press briefing held a few days earlier, on June 17, the US surgeonVivek mourthy announced a similar warning, saying: "Our efforts of public education of Vaccination Covid 19 have continued seriously and, in fact, with an even greater emergency given thespread delta variant, which is significantly more transmitted, can be more dangerous than previous variants and which serves as a separate reminder that if you are vaccinated, you are protected; If you are not, the threat of variants is real and growing. "
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