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The Delta variant is largely responsible for the currentMassive overvoltage in COVID cases Through the United States and, while it may seem like if there was no purpose in view, the experts predict that the overvoltage of the Delta will slow down in some states earlier than others. After examining the trajectory of the variant in other countries that are further on the road that we are, the specialists of infectious diseases predict what is coming and there is good news for part of the States -United.

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EpidemiologistMichael Osterholm, PhD, Director of the Infectious Disease Research Center at the University of Minnesota, told CNN that the next few months are difficult to predict, but when it comes in the short term, it has a hypothesis. "[If theDelta Variant follows this model That this is caught in other countries, we can expect to see, especially the South Sun Beltway Staint that struck so hard at the moment ... a really fast drop in cases probably two to three weeks, " said Osterholm.

States traditionally considered part of the sunbelt include Alabama, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, South Carolina, Texas, about two-thirds of the California and parts of North Carolina, Nevada and Utah. According to the data of the NPR, all these states are currently in the red zone, which means they areat the highest level of risk of COVID And let's see more than 25 new daily cases for 100,000 people. Louisiana, Mississippi and Florida see more than 100 new cases per capita every day.

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The prediction of osterholm is probably partly based on the trajectory ofThe delta is mostly in the U.K., who started falling at the end of July.The Boston Globe reports that COVID cases in the Netherlands and India have also experiencedSimilar decline Following a tip of Delta Dimaning Induced.

While experts are not positive what the lowering can be attributed to, manyQuote the flock of immunity, which is when enough people in a population are protected from a virus, because of a natural infection or vaccination, and accordingly, it can no longer spread so quickly.

"If you combine a natural immunity induced by an infection with Delta, then you have fairly high levels of vaccine coverage, you will access a level of flock immunity that will lead the transmission and drive it potentially to stop or Less slow down to levels much lower, "David Hammer, MD, an infectious disease specialist at the Boston Medical Center, saidThe Boston Globe. Hammer stated that he is currently "cautiously optimistic" on the trends he sees abroad.

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But while some states can see a decline in cases as soon as two to three weeks, others will remain during the situation longer. Osterholm stated that parts of the country who now sees COVIDs similar to those of the Midwest and some northeastern regions can quickly succumb to a similar destiny than the states of sunshine, which could prolong the Push. "The real challenge is what will happen with all the other states where we see increases," Osterholm said at CNN. "If they are too enlightened, this overvoltage could actually leave in mid-September or later."

The Washington Post hypothesis that the tracing of contacts, the summer break of the school and the widespread vaccination may be part of the reason that theU.K cases have dropped.

Now, US experts urge people to use the same tools to remove Delta overvoltage.

"Things are difficult right now with Delta, because we have heard how transmissible it is and how people vaccinated can wear high virus loads in their nose", "Linsey Marr, PhD, an expert in the transmission of infectious diseases via aerosols, told CNN. "But I think we can be reassured that vaccines always offer excellent protection against hospitalization, serious cases of illness."

Marr pointed out that with a more transmissible variant, we need to be even more vigilant. "We know what works and, [even] with a more communicable virus, these things always work: masks, distancing, ventilation, filtration and avoid crowds," she said.

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