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Whatever the idea you had onCOVID-19 [FeminineFinish soon, scrap: the delta variant is essentially a "new" virus, say experts. And it always spreads. "It is very clear that we are dealing with a global epidemic of the Delta variant," warnsDr. Anthony Fauci, Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. "At least 117 countries now have the delta variant since it has been detected for the first time. We know the transmissibility greater than the alpha-at least twice as large. The viral load is up to a thousand times larger in The nasopharynx of people with Delta that Alpha. "Read on five predictions of what will happen - and to ensure your health and health of others, do not miss these Sure sign that you have "Long" Covid and may even know.

"Many computer models provide that case accounts do not represent between mid-August and early September. This peak can bringUp to 450,000Daily case, in accordance with the Forecasters of the Institute of Metric and Health Assessment (IHME) at the University of Washington. IHME models have attracted controversy into the pandemic and other groups are more conservative: theCOVID-19 forecast hubpredicted that the number of daily cases on August 21 will be between 29,000 and 176,000, using aRange of estimates41 different models, "ReportsScience. "But all projections are based on hypotheses that move objectives, such as the mask bearing andvaccination Behavior and accuracy quickly reduces the additional forecasts. "

"Hospitalizations and deaths will be dragged behind cases of several weeks and, given the number of people who are now vaccinated, deaths should be lower than those of more than 3400 per day in January," reports science mag. "Nevertheless, Ihme researcherspredictAbout 1000 death per day in mid-September and a total of 76,000 additional deaths by November 1st. But if 95% of the inhabitants of the United States wore masks, their predicted model, 49,000 of these lives would be saved. Americans, including young and healthy people, should not underestimate this variant, warns Ali Mokdad, an epidemiologist of the IHME. "" Delta is a bad guy, "he says.

According toAtlantic: "Delta is adequate enough that once the precautions are lifted, most countries" will have a big wave of exit, "said Adam Kuharski, an infectious briefcase at the London School of Hygiene and tropical medicine, me said. As vaccination rates rise, these waves will become smaller and more manageable. But the immunity of herds - the point where enough people are immunized that epidemics automatically disappearcan not be achieved by vaccination alone... This means that the dream "Zero Covid" to completely print the virus is a fantasy. Instead, the pandemic ends when almost everyone has immunity, preferably because they were vaccinated or alternatively because they were infected and survived. When this happens, the overvoltage cycle will stop and the pandemic will peddle.The new coronavirus will become endemic-A a recurring part of our lives like its four cousins ​​that cause common colds. "

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"The hope that Covid-19 becomes endemic means that the pandemic does not end with the disappearing virus; instead, the optimistic view is that enough people will gain immune protection for immunization and natural infection. so that there will be less transmission and hospitalization and a death related to Covid-19, even if the virus continues to circulate, "says the immunologistYonatan Gradin theHarvard Gazette. "Since viruses are spreading where there are enough sensitive individuals and enough contact among them to maintain propagation, it is difficult to anticipate what the chronology will be for the expected offset of COVID-19 to L endemicity. It depends on factors such as the strength and duration of immunity protection against immunization and natural infection, our contact schemes that allow for propagation and transmissibility of the virus. The reasons will probably be different from what We have seen with the other pandemics because of the heterogeneous responses to Covid-19 around the world - with some places engaging "zero-coovid" policies, others with limited responses and availability and absorption of largely variable vaccines .

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The FDA will soon recommend reminder strokes to these immunocompared Americans. "This is a true statement that we believe sooner or later, you will need a reminder of the sustainability of protection," said Dr. Anthony Fauci. "We are evaluating this one day after day, week week, month a month, by examining one of the international and national studies, and as stated repeatedly, protected from immunocomized., We do not believe that Other elderly or non-elderly people who are not immunocompened need a vaccine at the moment, but it is a dynamic process and data will be evaluated. The only thing we do is that we We are preparing for the possibility of doing that. So, if the data tells us that, in fact, we have to do that, we will be very ready to do it and do it quickly. "

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Follow the fundamentals of Fauci and help put an end to this pandemic, no matter where you live-yourself-hinder vaccinating. If you live in an area with low vaccination rates, wear a N95facial maskDo not travel, social distance, avoid big crowds, do not go inside with people you are not shelter with (especially in bars), practice good hand hygiene and protect your life and the lives of others, don 't visit one of these35 places you are most likely to catch Covid.