Ito ay kapag ang susunod na pangunahing covid surge ay mangyayari, binabalaan ngayon ng mga opisyal

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The U.S. was rocked by a massive COVID surge this past winter, driven almost entirely by the fast-spreading Omicron variant. At that point, there were 500,000 to 700,000 new cases being reported every single week, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Thankfully, it's been some time since we've seen such high numbers, as infections started steadily dropping in February and March. But cases are back on the rise once again thanks to even more infectious Omicron subvariants. According to the latest data from the CDC, COVID cases have increased by more than 21 percent in just the last week alone with more than 64,000 new infections reported. While that's hardly the level we saw during Omicron's reign, some experts are already warning Americans about the next major COVID surge. Read on to find out what officials are predicting next.

Basahin ito sa susunod:Dr. Fauci Warns All Vaccinated People to "Make Sure" to Do This "Now."

More than half of all Americans have already been infected by COVID.

woman coughing into her arm while sitting on the couch
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At this point in the pandemic, it's almost guaranteed that you or someone you're close to has been hit with COVID. Ayon kayan April 29 report from the CDC, 60 percent of all Americans—including approximately 75 percent of children—have been infected with COVID as of Feb. 2022. And a majority of these infections have been the result of Omicron, the agency noted.

"These findings illustrate a high infection rate for the Omicron variant, especially among children," the CDC said. "Vaccination remains the safest strategy for preventing complications from SARS-CoV-2 infection, including hospitalization among children and adults."

Officials say the next major COVID surge could hit later this year.

A young woman having her nose swabbed for a COVID test by a healthcare worker
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The Biden administration is now preparing for another major COVID surge this fall. A White House official warned during a briefing that they are currently projecting 100 million Americans—or roughly 30 percent of the population—could contract COVID this fall or winter, The Washington Postreported on May 6. According to the newspaper, this spike is expected to be driven by new Omicron subvariants that will spread through the U.S. at a time when many will have waning immunity against infection.

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But cases might start rising in other states sooner than this.

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While officials are not expecting the U.S. to have another country-wide COVID surge until at least the fall, some states could experience their own wave sooner than this. The White House official predicted that the next coronavirus wave will hit the South this summer, largely driven by the increase in temperature forcing people inside. Then in the fall, the official predicts the spike in infections will start to spread across the rest of the country.

Other experts share this expectation, especially considering that a similar pattern was seen in 2020 and 2021. "For some reason, we see a seasonality in these peaks. We're seeing a very high rate of cases in the South during the summer months, possibly because so many people are inside because its so hot there," Mercedes Carnethon, PhD, an epidemiologist at the Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, told The Washington Post.

The next major surge depends on a number of different factors.

Friends group walking together wearing face mask at city center -
iStock

None of these projections are certain, however, as there are various factors that could change the course of the country's COVID troubles. The White House official said that the 100 million figure is partly based on the assumption that there will be a lack of federal resources allocated by Congress, The New York Timesreported.ae0fcc31ae342fd3a1346ebb1f342fcb

According to the newspaper, the Biden administration has been pushing Congress for $22.5 billion in emergency aid for COVID tests, therapeutics, and vaccines this year, but Republicans have insisted that number be lowered significantly to just $10 billion. Without this, it's likely many vaccinated and previously infected people could be reinfected by a COVID surge in the fall, according to the White House official.

"What they're saying seems reasonable—it's on the pessimistic side of what we projected in the COVID-19 scenario modeling run," Justin Lessler, PhD, an epidemiologist at University of North Carolina Gillings School of Global Public Health, told The Washington Post . "Ito ay palaging mahirap hulaan ang hinaharap pagdating sa Covid, ngunit sa palagay ko nasa isang punto kami ngayon kung saan ito ay mas mahirap kaysa sa normal. Dahil mayroong napakaraming pagiging sensitibo, sa mga tuntunin ng mga pangmatagalang mga uso na ito, sa mga bagay na don Hindi ko maintindihan nang eksakto ang tungkol sa virus at tungkol sa pag -uugali ng [tao]. "

Basahin ito sa susunod: Hindi ka protektahan ng mga boosters laban kay Omicron kung nagawa mo na ito, hahanapin ang pag -aaral .


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