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To rely on folk forecast tactics in The farmer's Almanac To look at the information on the weather religiously, people can be obsessed with the amount of rainy or snow and how cold will be in relation to other years. Of course, the only significant variables to try to trace time are the phenomena that can tip the scales and influence the conditions in one way or another. And now scientists say that an unpredictable El Niño is already changing the weather perspectives. Read the rest to see what it means for your region this winter.

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Every few years, El Niño returns to the headlines while experts are starting to make their winter forecasts. The term comes from A natural phenomenon This occurs when hot more surface water in the peaceful ocean which is generally pushed to the west towards Asia derives east towards South America after the equatorial foods end, according to the National Oceanic and atmospheric administration (NOAA). AE0FCC31AE342FD3A1346EBB1F342FCB

The name itself comes from South American fishermen who noticed the warmer temperatures in the water, originally naming it "El Niño de Navidad" - or "The little Christmas boy" - because he was often the stronger in December. A reverse phenomenon known as "La Niña" also occurs when cold water moves east towards the continent, by Noaa.

Even if the temperature difference on the surface is only a few degrees, it generates significant weather changes. In the case of El Niño, the warmer water attracts the Pacific rush further south, creating drier and warmer conditions in certain parts of the northern United States and pushing wet and flooding weather in The Southeast, according to the NOAA.

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Even if the events of El Niño and La Niña both occur at seven years on average, they can still vary in intensity depending on certain conditions. But while scientists expect changes, they noted that this year is acting differently Some mysterious ways .

The initial temperature readings of the ocean surface show that the waters are now around 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit above the average, which signals a stronger El Niño season, should be in progress, The Washington Post reports. But so far, time remains statistically unchanged in areas that these conditions would generally affect.

Scientists explain that maintenance is due to other conditions in the region, including a large mass of hot water in the Western Pacific. "[This] encourages more tropical rain to fall into it, which in turn reduces the intensity of precipitation further east because the air which rises in the thunderstorms of the Pacific West is calm towards the surface more to the 'is, drying the atmosphere, " Paul Roundy , PhD, professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Albany, said The post office .

There also seems to be less air that rises on the Pacific, which creates the cycle of the formation of clouds and storms which moves east and ends up falling on the United States. In the eastern part of the ocean, preventing the formation from occurring, by The post office .

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Despite a late departure, experts now see evidence that a quarter of work could take place.

"This heat interference of the Western Pacific seems to decrease," said Roundy The post office . "Now there is a lot of warm water east of the date line to allow the heavier rain to fall there."

Once this happens, he thinks that a traditional season of El Niño will begin. Others expect surface temperatures can then continue to increase until December And in January, according to Just in Weather. And of course, this could bring wet conditions in certain parts of the country.

"It is likely that this winter, in the center of southern California will be wet, extending east through the southern part of the nation," said Roundy The post office .

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But while certain parts of the States could be soaked this winter, others will have a very different time. According to Todd Crawford , PHD, a consulting meteorologist at Weather and Climate Intelligence Company Atmospheric G2, temperatures could be "super hot" to "potentially record [hot] sometimes" in the United States in the first half of winter. Finally, the weather will become colder and could even possibly look like winter 2009-2010 - which means that very heavy snow could go to certain areas, by The post office .

Other areas could still be for rain and snow. "There is also an improved potential of wet conditions on the east coast, especially in December," said Roundy The post office .

And of course, snow is always in the mixture. According to Just in Weather, the probability of white stuff is "above the average all around". However, according to the track of each storm, the potential for them to remain like rain that they move north leave the possibility that it can be less snowy in certain regions.

However, things seem different for the east when Past data is considered . According to the NOAA data, of high years of El Niño in fact mean that it is less Probably snow that usually in places like New York, Pennsylvania and New England, reports CNN.

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