Where it will be very hot this winter, the new weather predictions show
Federal forecasters expect warmer temperatures than average in certain states.
Do you dream of a White Christmas ? Depending on where you are located in the United States, you may want to reduce your expectations. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which oversees the National Weather Service (NWS), has just published its forecasts for the winter season 2023-2024, and it seems that certain parts of the country could go to an unusually winter hot. Read more to discover what these new weather forecasts show.
In relation: Here is when your region will see its first freeze, according to meteorological experts .
The Noaa has just published its winter forecasts.
In a October 19 Press release , the NOAA announced that the federal forecasters of its climate prediction center (which is a division of the NWS) had published their American winter prospects for this year. According to the press release, for the first time in four years, an El Niño is in place while we head for winter. El Niño is a climatic scheme In which "foods weaken [and] lukewarm water is pushed east, towards the west coast of the Americas", according to the Noaa website.
"These prospects provide critical advice on the coming season for many industries and sectors of our economy, from energy producers to agricultural interests for tourism," said the Noaa chief scientist Sarah Kapnick , PHD, said in a statement. "With a strengthening of El Niño and more potential climatic extremes during an already record year, we are fortunate to have scientists like those of the Climate Predication Center helping to build a meteorological nation and ready for the climate in providing critical operational seasonal climate forecasts. "
In relation: What an El Niño "historically strong" could mean for your region this winter .
They predict a very hot winter for certain areas.
The NOAA says that climatic patterns like El Niño "break normal conditions and can considerably affect our time". This year, the forecasters provide that it should make an additional hot winter in certain parts of the country. Depending on their prospects, unusually hot temperatures are expected through the northern level of the United States and a large part of the far west.
"The biggest chances for the warmer conditions than the average are in Alaska, in the northwest of the Pacific and in the north of New England," said Noaa in its release.
Meanwhile, the region extending from the Rockies of the South Center to the South Plains is most likely to experience almost normal seasonal temperatures, according to forecasts. But some states, including New Mexico, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and Florida, have "equal chances" for lower seasonal temperatures, near or superior to average.
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Some places may also experience more precipitation this winter.
El Niño should not only provide warmer conditions than average. Due to this climatic scheme, the NOAA also provides for more humid conditions than the average for northern Alaska, parts of the west, the plains of the south, southeast, the Gulf and the Gulf and the MI-Atlantic lower from December to February. AE0FCC31AE342FD3A1346EBB1F342FCB
"An improved southern jet jet and an associated humidity often present during high events of El Niño support high chances for precipitation higher than average for the Gulf coast, the Mississippi valley and the southeast states this winter". Jon Gottschalck , the head of the operational prediction branch of the Climate Prediction Center, said in a statement.
This could help "extreme and current drought conditions" which have an impact on many parts of the United States
"At the end of October, strong precipitation should lead to an improvement in drought for the center of the United States El Niño, its improved precipitation should provide drought relief in the south of the United States in the coming months" . "" Brad Pugh , the manager of the operational drought with the NOAA climate prediction center, said in a statement.
But other forecasts have different predictions.
Winter prediction warmer than the average than the average differs from this Farmer's almanac indicated in his own recent prediction. Several weeks ago, Farmer's almanac released its 2023-2024 extended Winter weather forecast , which has revealed a significantly more snowy season for the United States overall.
"After a strange and warm winter season of last year, this winter should be happy with cold weather fans, especially those of the Great Lakes, the Midwest and the North of New England", editor Pete Geiger said in a report . "The 'brrr' comes back! We expect more snow and low temperatures nationwide."
Unlike Noaa forecasts, the Farmer's almanac Forecasts provide "temperatures below average and many snowstorms, gries, ice, [and] rain" for northern New England. But the two organizations agree on one point: "The Southeast and Florida will see a more humid winter than normal", according to the Farmer's almanac release.
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