The scientist says that it would have cut coronavirus death in two
The United Kingdom could have suffered coronavirus death if locking measures have been put in place earlier.
In examining the first months of the pandemic pandemic, some government officials and health expressed a regret on early decisions (or not) to contain propagation, which has raised more and more deaths coronavirus.Neil Ferguson, which is Professor of Mathematical Biology at Imperial College London, has made part of the scientific modeling that guided the United Kingdom movements about coronavirus. And this week, by the associated press, he told Parliament's Science and Technology Committee that modelsunderestimated the speed of propagation. Ferguson has even asked that the introduction of "locking measures a week earlier ... would have reduced the number of final deaths of at least one half".
While other scientists and other scientists have estimated early that the rate of infection would double every five to six days, he has indeed doubled both to three. The United Kingdom advised preliminary social distancing measures of March 17, but the government did not introduce the complete lock before March 23. The determinations of Ferguson, that the time lost was devastating to the number of lives lost in the United Kingdom, which exceeds 41,000 people.
According to Ferguson, another surveillance that has contributed to this total was the inability to protect residents of propagation retirement homes. According to the BBC, as of May 1,More than 8,000 nursing home deaths in the U.K. have been attributed to the coronavirus.
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However, Ferguson also claimed in his remarks that, "given what we knew this virus, then in terms of transmission and inevitable", the decisions taken by the government were understandable at the time. When asked at a press conference, as well as other leaders made mistakes in their treatment of the pandemic, the Prime MinisterBoris Johnsonsaid, "For the moment, it's just too early to judge us."
For more information on why social distancing works, seeHow many people lock registered people of coronaviruses, the study says.