Are we already in the second wave of coronavirus?
The experts weigh on the question of whether affectionate spikes are always part of the first wave.
Since earliest in pandemic coronavirus, health officials and infectious disease experts have been warned aboutWaves of subsequent infection. Past pandemics, including the1918 Influenza Spread, occurred in several waves, which means that the number of cases would fall, then the crest again - sometimes to a more delicate effect. As many states across the country have lifted lock orders, their active number of cases andHospitalizations are on the rise. Although these frightening statistics can suggest that we are already in the second wave of coronavirus, experts say that it is not quite right.
The truth is that states in which figures are branches did not know the hollow that occurs between the actual waves. Talking at CNBC,Nicholas ReichProfessor of Biostatistics and Epidemiology at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, said that only some states, including New York and New Jersey, have already hadtheir first wave surge and areSee autumn numbers Faced with locking measurements. He continued: "However, many states had more than one first wave plateau, without a clear decrease for several weeks."
In the appearance of June 11 on the CNBCSquawk box,donorScott Gottlieb, MD, addressed the wrong idea. "It's not a second wave. [These states] have never really been rid of the first wave," he said. "If you look at Texas and Arizona, for example, they were really not so hard in relation to the other states in February and March. So they had some infection, they had a persistent infection - now We start to go back to it as they reopen. "
For example, at the end of March,New York has already seen new cases in thousands of days, whileTexas figures were still in the hundreds. On June 10, Texas added 2,500 new cases - its highest daily number - to its total, while New York, which culminated at 12,312 new cases on April 4, saw 664 cases compared.
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By the end of May, the World Health Organization (WHO) warned that the figures potentially picking again during the first wave. "We must also be aware that the disease can skip at any time," saidMichael Ryan, Executive Director of WHO's Emergency Health Program, by ABC News. "We can not make hypotheses just because the disease is down now, it will continue to go down. We can getA second peak in this wave. "
Experts still predict thatA real second wave will appear in the fall or winter. "We should not see aSecond wave In summer, butWe can see hot spots throughout the country, "Mark Jarrett, MD, Northwell's quality of quality of health quality, saidNewspaperearlier this month. Jarrett pointed out that the1918 influenza pandemic started in March 1918. And although there is a significant decline in cases during the summer, an autumn resurgence of the flu virusclaimed even more lives that the initial epidemic. And look even further in the future,Here's when a third wave of coronaviruses could strike, say doctors.
