Harvard doctor just shared a dark coronavirus prediction for autumn

The very different coronavirus trajectories between states paint a divided image.


The recent CVIV-19 figures show that the virus moves away in some areas of the country at an alarming rate. In fact, according to an internal memo of the White House,A third of all states are currently considered "red zones" When infection rates and / or positive test results are peak seeds. Many of these states are through the sun's belt, but another region of the country is currently finding that their case numbers remain stable: the northeast. And as a Harvard doctor saidThe New York Times,by the fall, the The United States will be like "two countries"Experiment coronavirus in different ways.

In a recent interview,Ashish jha, MD, MPH, Director of the Harvard Global Health Institute (HGHI), compared the relatively large differences between the current state of New York and the New England states in relation to States such as Florida, Texas and southern California, who are currently findingUnprecedented coronavirus.

But he warned that the worst can still have come, especially asApproaches to the flu season at the end of autumn. "I would not be surprised that what we have is two countries, which is on the end of the coronavirus, its submerged hospitals and another part of the country struggling a little, but largely ok with their economy."

Intensive care in the hospital amid COVID-19
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The data published by HGHI appear to support the idea that the division between the Northeast and the rest of the country is expanding. TheirCovered Covid Risk Card Color, which rank states and counties based on new daily cases per 100,000 people, shows that the bottom of the list consists almost entirely of Pennsylvania states to the north. The only states of geography are Western Virginia (6.1 new cases for 100,000 people) and Hawaii, which barely swivel Vermont as the lowest rate of the United States of 1.4 new cases per 100,000 people.

Northeast states, however, are not without their fair share of damage caused by the pandemic. Massachusetts posted theworst unemployment rate in the country in June to 17.4%. And New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Massachusetts and Rhode Island have generally reported themost COVID-19 deaths per capita in the country, with more than 61,000 handset,The temperature reports. But the region apparently has a worst pandemic behind them in terms of new cases for the moment.

JHA believes that states that are currently fighting successfully the virus take note of the experiences of other states, especially since Massachusetts and Rhode Island reported a slight increase in infection rates. "I think they look at what's going on in the south and are horrified," he saysThe temperature. And for more details on why some areas are much worse than others, checkStates that have reopened these early places have seen enormous COVID tips, said a study.

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Categories: Health
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