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The race is to get as much of the population vaccinated against Covid possible to slow down its propagation. The experts have planned only to haveenough of the vaccinated population-Enter 70 and 85 percent would be enough to get the immunity of herds needed to start lifting the restrictions on public health. But now, some doctors fear that the path to achieve this goal is increasingly difficult, warning that we cannever reach the level of flock immunity necessary to end the pandemic of Covid. Read on to see what has made them change their forecasts, and to learn more about what other high health leaders feel the future, seeDr. Fauci said we're just ever able to do yet.

During an appearance on the CBSFace the nation,Scott Gottlieb, MD, former Commissioner Food and Drug Administration (FDA), asked if it would be possible in the United States to always obtain total immunity from the flock without vaccinating children because they represent a quarter of the population. " No you can not. But I do not really thinkWe will never reach real collective immunity, "He predicted. It will not be like measles or smallpox where it just kind of go. Covid will continue to circulate at a low level ".

Gottlieb warned that the emergence of new highly contagious variants of the virus has changed the price of the pandemic, saying thatboosters were already being developed To help make vaccines more effective against these new strains. "Let's hope we will continue to vaccinate the vulnerable population, so we will protect them from hospitalizations or a serious illness and the death of that," says Gottlieb. "But that will continue to spread. And for more when numbers could peak once again, consultThat's exactly when we're going to see the next ViVID sudden climb, Warn experts.

Gottlieb is not the first expert to raise the possibility thatthe immunity of herds can be unlikely In the foreseeable future. According to a forecast of the University of the Washington Institute of Metrology and Health Assessment (IHME), it is unlikely that people around the world will be vaccinated to really bring to heel in the following year.

"There are serious concerns that the diffusion of new variants of Covid-19, the realization of the immunity of herds necessary to end the pandemic can be difficult or impossible,"Christopher Murray, MD, Ihme Directorsaid in a declaration Posted on 4 February "Although it is possible to reach the immunity of herds by next winter, it seems more and more unlikely that we will do it, and considering what we all need to change our expectations. And for a very different prediction, seeCovid will be "most of the time is over" this date, Johns Hopkins says the doctor.

IHME researchers explained that some of the reasoning of their point of view is that if we know that vaccines are effective in reducing serious diseases, very little is still included in how they block transmission. Their forecasts also provides that only 38 percent of people in the United States will be vaccinated before May 1st of this year, citing a public inquiry that found25 percent of the population They said they reject a Covid vaccine and 25 percent who said they were still uncertain.

"Governments and the public need to plan the actual perspective that COVID-19 must be managed continuously," said Murray. "It is essential to vaccinate as many people as possible and prepare for a long-term change in behavior. It is likely that the port of masks and take other steps to prevent transmission, especially in the winter months, will become an integral part of our lives. And for more Covid news, delivered directly to your inbox,Sign up for our daily newsletter.

While vaccination rates may be late the hopes of experts, the IHME still provides that there are tools at our disposal. Researchers found that the United States could save more than 44,000 lives by June 1st ifHide use was to increase at 95 percent at the national level.

"Getting vaccines quickly is essential, and the masks are always one of the best tools we need to keep at low transmission and avoid the worst possible result," said Murray. "People will have to continue to take precautions even once they are vaccinated, because of the potential of more contagious variants to spread. »

The doctor added that "we could be able to bring Covid-19 under control if we continue to focus on strategies that can maintain low-avoidal transmission of gatherings, to wear masks and other measures - while Working as many people vaccinated as possible. . "And for more new vaccines, consultThe CDC does not tell this within 2 weeks of your Covid vaccine.