If this is open near you, expect COVID numbers. CDC warns
Mortality rates increased by 41 days after this type of reopening, according to the new CDC report.
In the rollercoaster, it is a follow-up of COVID cases, we have just seen an exhilarating free fall. The numbers dropped from a height of all time in January, signaling a lot of hope of our country. But the experts warn thatCase numbers stagnate and even rising As states begin to loosen restrictions and reopen. According to disease control and prevention centers (CDC), there is a way to predict areas of business, hospitalizations and deaths.If the restaurants open near you, the CDC warns, you can expect Covid numbers to increase. Read on to learn more about the CDC warning and for more information on the trajectory of the pandemic,That's when we can expect the next Covid surge, say experts.
ACDC study published on March 5th examined two Community security measures that seemed to have an impact onCOVID CASE RATE Over time: masks mandates and restaurants resopings. The authors of the report found that both had a statistically significant impact on the spread of the community. "Allowing restaurant premises has been associated with increased growth rates of CVIV-19 daily 41-100 days after implementation and increased growth rates of daily death 61-100 days after setting implemented, "the authority of health reported.
During the study period, the restaurants were allowed to reopen forDinner on site In 3,076 (97.9%) of the US counties, the report indicates. Researchers have found that on-site dinners - which included domestic and outdoor accommodation by the CDC definition - were associated with an increase of 2.2 percentage points of death between 61 and 80 days after reopening and a Increase of 3.0 percentage points of death between 81 and 100 days after reopening.
Although the CDC observed that the increase in cases and deaths became statistically significant after 41 days and not earlier, researchers noted that there could be several explanations that still support the case of prudence.
To tackle these first weeks after the restrictions attenuated, they wrote: "Even if the prohibition of on-site restaurants has been adjourned, restaurants were not obliged to open and have a deferred reopening. In addition, Potential customers at the restaurant could have been more cautious when restaurants initiallyReopens for meals on the spot But could have been more likely to dinner in restaurants like past time. Other analyzes are needed to assess the delayed increase in case growth rates and death, "the CDC reported.
Be that as it may, it is prudent to say that what we do in the coming weeks and months could determine our case account trajectory. "We are at aNexus critical in the pandemic, "CDC DirectorRochelle Walensky, MD, saysTheThe Wall Street newspaper On March 5, noting that the seven-day average of the nation is rising. Thus, for those of us who prefer the precipitation of the free fall to the intimidating rise, it could mean a few more weeks - or months of take-out before finally engraving a restaurant in person. Learn more about Walensky's ideas, and if you are eager to go back to normal,It is at this moment that the Pandemic of Covid will be completely over, say experts.
1 The next few months are crucial.
"I think the next two or three monthscould go in one of the two directions, "Walensky told NPR Host,Ari Shapiro, In an interview of March 3rd. "If things open, if we are not really careful, we could end up with a post-spring thrust on how we've seen a post-Christmas push. We could seemuch more illness. We could see a lot more death. "
Walensky also offered an "alternative vision" in which we are now curking for a great summer gain. "[If], we have really brought us for a few months, we get as many people vaccinated and we come to a very good summer place," she said. And for the latest COVID news delivered directly to your inbox,Sign up for our daily newsletter.
2 The current re-openings are in contradiction with the recommendations of the CDC.
Of course, the Walensky Rose projection is only achievable if there is a generalized buy-in and several states have recently announced mass re-openings, including the return to catering at full capacity, which could counteract the progress she imagines.
"The CDC refresses the routine masking, the social distancing of routine right now, just as we are at this Nexus, this critical time, this primitive point. So it does not fit insidethe direction we recommend, "Walensky said, referring to these ads. And for a rule, the CDC says ca relax,The CDC is about to announce this big CVID guide change..
3 Current infection rates are too high to reduce public health measures.
Walensky warned that pandemic fatigue during this crucial period could easily contribute to a thrust in new cases. "We are all exhausted," she recognized.
This is exactly why is now a key moment to double on precautions: avoid temptations of large gatherings, on-site meals and the desire to go without mask. "What is worrying me the most is that we really stabilize, which increases to about 60,000 to 70,000 cases a day, and that's too many cases to try to end this Pandemic, "said Walensky at the NPR.
4 The deployment of vaccine is light at the end of the tunnel.
However cautiously, Walensky expressed optimism when questioned about the deployment of the vaccine, referring to "light at the end of the tunnel".
"I think theThe offer will increase more and more in the coming weeks. I think the end of March seems better, end of April seems even better than that, "said Walensky." So, I really think we're talking in the beach of four to eight weeks when we're really going to start to see a real step a supply, "she added. And if you are looking for news of crucial vaccines,Dr. Fauci has just confirmed that you can do it after being vaccinated.