The CDC just predicted your chances of dying of coronavirus

The government agency has led a scenario that predicts the number of deaths - with some warnings.


You now know that nothing about coronavirus is predictable. However, in order to plan every scenario, the CDC and the Office of the Deputy Secretary of Preparation and Response have just been manufacturedPandemic planning scenariosThis "are designed to help inform the decisions of models and public health leaders who use mathematical modeling". One of these scenarios, nicknamed Scenario 5, "represents a better current estimate on viral transmission and the severity of diseases in the United States". And this includes a prevention on what percentage of those of your age group will die of COVID-19.

  • If you are 65 years old and over: CDC says 1.3% of these that your symptomatic age group could die if they get coronavirus.
  • Of those aged 50 to 64, 0.2% could disappear.
  • If you have 49 and under: the CDC says that 0.05% of the symptomatic people of your demography could die.

They also believe that 0.4% of people with CVIV-19 symptoms could die.

What does this mean for you?

First, there are custody of the CDC.

"The parameter values ​​will change because more data becomes available," says the agency. In addition, they:

  • Are estimates to support public health preparation and planning.
  • Are not predictions of the expected effects of COVID-19.
  • Do not reflect the impact of any changes in behavior, social distances or other interventions. "

However, as they are "scenarios to advance public health and planning preparation", it is best to assume that they are correct because you judge how to move throughout your day. The best scenario is that you can personally help reduce the mortality rate.

How you can save a life, including your own

"The best way to prevent the disease is to avoid being exposed to this virus," says the CDC. "The most common way to be infected with Covid-19 is via the propagation of droplets," says Dr. Deborah Lee, medical writerDr Fox. "The virus begins his life inside in a drop of mucoid secretion inside the lungs of a person who is already infected. When this person breathes, this breathing drop is released in the air and if you are at On the side of this person- in the supermarket line, for example, this infected drop may be landing on the lip, mouth or nose. When you then dorce your nails, licks your lips or breathe through your nose, the virus Jump in your mouth or nasal cavity. You can also, of course, inhale the droplet directly into your lungs. "

It continues: "The virus has tips on its surface called receptors. It behaves on your cells, the glue, then physically between the cell. It then uses your own cell machine to divide and reproduce, killing your cell in the process. After the reproduction of the virus, hundreds of new viral particles are released on the pulmonary surface ready to die and invade more pulmonary cells and destroy them. "

You can take action to slow the spread. Advises the CDC:

And to cross this pandemic with your healthiest, do not miss theseThings you should never do during the pandemic coronavirus.


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