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Barely nine States reported high records of coronavirus cases and hospitalizations - and as politicians called for the frenzy of the "Overblown" frenzy - a new study shows that theTotal of the United States of the death of Covid-19 couldEke 2000 by October. "An influential model of the University of Washington now predicts the number of deaths from the virus following 201111129 by October 1 to 18% higher than previous forecasts - such as States reinforce and relax with social distancing measures ", reports thePost of New York.

"It is increasingly clear that Covid-19 toll will extend beyond the summer months in the northern hemisphere and the current epidemics could easily get worse because the southern hemisphere near his season. Winter, "said the Institute of the University of Metric and Health Assessment. In addition, they projected the number of deaths per state until 1 October and the results can surprise you.

The most troubled states

"The rise in CVIV-19 infection rates, hospitalizations and deaths occur as a result of attenuated or completed distancing policies," says the institute analysts. "We collectively equip ourselves with epidemic response and mitigation strategies beyond the first phases of the world of this pandemic."

Here are what areas should be struck the most difficult: "With the virus continuing to spread, Florida has been predicted among the most difficult states of October of October with 18,675 deaths, said the group. Estimates increased by the projection of 6-59 June of 559 ", reports the post. "The Institute has also revised an estimate of California virus deaths by 72% from 8-812 to 1555. and Arizona has also received a worst Outlook, up 56% at 7,415 deaths of 4,762 in the same frame. "

"If the United States is unable to verify growth in September, we could cope with the aggravation of trends in October, November and the following months if the pandemic, as we expect, follows the seasonality of pneumonia"Director Dr. Christopher Murray said in a declaration.

To see your chances of dying

See the number of deaths in your state - and the projected increase or decrease - the universitycomputer modelis easy to use. The map view shows the country's leveling deaths across the country, but it is planned to rise in September. You can also search by state. Alabama should have more than 3,600 deaths by 3,600 deaths from October. Wisconsin, a state generally thinking that Covid-19 under control, should have more than 1,300 deaths, from the current number of 712.

These numbers are important because they show how fatal disease can be fatal, instead of simply reflecting the result of an increase in the tests. "These forecasts are based on our current CVIV-19 knowledge and key drivers in the United States, as well as model parameter updates to inform estimates beyond August (for example, the recovery of the instructions In person in previously closed educational facilities) ", say the researchers. "We expect more data to become available on reopening plans beyond June and July, as well as the location potential to restore pre-distancing policies or implementing new CVIV-19 trends changing. We will continue to update the template entries and parameters as new information emerges and we will communicate these changes accordingly. "

To stay safe in your state, wash your hands frequently, practice social distance, wear a face covering and crossing this pandemic with your healthier, do not miss theseThings you should never do during the coronavirus pandemic.