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With the hot spots of emerging coronaviruses as Rouvenis-Oregon, Arizona and Texas states define records for cases this week - a newto study Reports "Voltage" between reopening and resurgence of Covid-19, with a state most likely to be the center of the next large epidemic: Florida.

"Most of the areas of general general community transmission continue to be in Texas, Arizona, Carolinas and, once again, Florida", report a team of Philadelphia Children's Hospital scientists and from the University of Pennsylvania, which model projections. "In fact, Florida has all the purchases of the next big epicenter ... the risk that there is the worst that it has ever been in our projections.The Counties of Southeast Miami and Florida now join the Tampa / Fort Myers and Orlando region for a fairly widespread transmission event we plan to continue throughout the state. "

The state recently had its "15th consecutive day of more than 1,000 new cases. Tuesday sets a new one-day record for new infections, with 2,783, a number almost equal to Wednesday" ReportsSlate. "The state now has more than 80,000 cases and reported more than 3,000 deaths."

Officials as governor Ron Desantis and Vice President Mike Pence attributed increasing cases to increased tests. However, the slate spoke to Cindy Prins, an associate professor of epidemiology at the University of Florida, who said that "if the test was responsible, there would be a rather neat correlation between the tests and the cases. But while there has been continuous growth in cases. For about June 2, the tests have been more irregular. "

Nevertheless, Florida officials refuse to close again. "We do not go back," said Desantis Tuesday, adding that "the negative effects of it would go far exceed the gains you get. You must have a company function".

The virus browsing highways

Florida is not the only state of the South to see, depending on the researchers. "Alabama collapses and we detects new risks in Louisiana, particularly in neighboring parishes of New Orleans, which should be of concern for the easiest," say model makers. "Three weeks of the Memorial Day weekend weekend, we have also fully observed the effects of the increase in holiday trips to hammer the holiday destinations of the South, even as the northeast and the Midwest continue to Maintain stable case projections. Hilton Head and Myrtle Beach, SC, are particularly concerning, but the Galveston, Texas and Lake Charles, ".

The virus can be found on highways because people travel, carrying Covid-19 with them. "For example, Galveston felt the impacts of people traveling from Houston to go to the beach," said Texas's authors. "The forecasts we have published today reveal that cases also increase rapidly along the popular South Carolina coastAnd, as mentioned earlier, the resurgence risk spread rapidly along the I-95 coastal corridor of Florida. On the west coast, we followed several weeks epidemics in the imperial and inner areas of South California. Over the past two weeks, our forecasts have shown that this risk seems to be extended to the south north along the I-5 corridor in the central valley. "

All the bad news

The researchers found positive signs that confinement measures were still in effect in some states. "On a brilliant note, however, we are now seeing some evidence of behavior exchange, which can help calm these epidemics", the report. "From Nashville, to Houston, Richmond, Phoenix, Salt Lake City, people have not continued to relax the social distance, which we measure as a change of travel in non-essential companies. How fast it is Translated by their risk curves Watch observation. "To protect yourself: Continue to practice social distancing; wear a covering face; Wash your hands frequently; And to cross this pandemic with your healthiest, do not miss theseThings you should never do during the pandemic coronavirus.