I am an infectious doctor disease and here is when everything will be finished

A doctor of Yale offers his coronavirus scenario "Best case".


As Covid-19 business continues to stack through the country, many of us are wondering when - and if, the highly infectious and potentially fatal virus will never disappear. According to an upper pathologist of Yale, the answer is no. It will be with us "indefinitely".

"It's going to leave, not finish abruptly,"Sheldon Campbell, MD, Ph.D., a Laboratory Medicine Specialist at Yale Medicine and Laboratory Medicine Professor in Yale School of Medicine, saysEat this, not that! Health. "I think Covid-19 will be with us indefinitely."

"We are unlikely to eradicate it"

Dr Campbell explains that, despite the fact that the measles vaccine was developed in 1963 (improved in 1968 and MMR in 1968), is "absolutely superb", fifty years later, it is still not eradicated. "Covid is quite infectious, many asymptomatic cases to maintain it in a population, so we are unlikely to eradicate it as we have done by SARS," he adds.

And while the best researchers like Francis Collins and Anthony Fauci are optimistic that a vaccine will be ready in 2021, he points out that there are still many questions. "Does a vaccine block transmission or simply mitigate or limit symptoms? How many doses, how effective it is effective in preventing disease / death / transmission (each of them CI is a different number; the last particularly difficult to get) and very critical, how many people will take? "He asks.

With regard to the field of tests, its area of ​​interest, many ideas cause a curiosity likely to significantly improve the effectiveness of testing, which could be incredibly beneficial as complementary approaches to control the virus. "Emerging technologies could produce a self-administered test that would detect high viral loads (the most infectious state) for about a dollar. They did not detect all the positives; but maybe most people very infectious,", he reveals.

The scenario "Maybe optimistic" of the doctor

His best scenario "maybe optimistic" in the realization of "new" normal status "goes like that:

"The country fits that, hey, masks are not so terrible-seems now to some extent. This current overvoltage is limited and declines slowly because of social distancing, but splains of infection are continuing in various Places; possibly more Come winter. The vaccine tests go well. A fast and fast test net also becomes available and are used in populations without vaccine coverage. We find and isolate the patients earlier. disease levels diminished. Those observed in Europe, say. New epidemics are quickly contained and the country progressively passes to a "new normal" about a year from now. "

How to avoid Covid-19

Do what scientists say: wear your face mask, test yourself if you think of coronaviruses, avoid crowds (and bars and evenings of the house), practice social distance, only manage essential races , wash your hands regularly, disinfect frequently affected areas, and to cross this pandemic with your healthiest, do not miss these37 places you are most likely to catch coronavirus.


Categories: Health
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