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While the history Atmospheric river Rain storms in California remind us that extreme weather conditions can occur every time of the year, the hurricanes season is generally present as one of the most important concerns. Scientists can sometimes use certain clues to help determine whether a particularly slow or severe confrontation of weather conditions is coming. And now meteorologists warn that a "Super El Niño" could lead to a future season of upcoming hurricanes. Read the rest to see what could be in reserve this summer and why experts think it could be a particularly difficult year.

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Even those who do not know much about the weather understand that the "El Niño" years can make changes to the typical models. The term refers to warmer temperatures warmer than the average In the Pacific Ocean which are developing both at seven years, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

During typical periods, El Niño has a significant impact on bad weather in the United States, in particular by leading to drier and warmer conditions in the north of the United States and wet to the south-east and the Gulf Coast . It can also have a little protective effect and reduce the number of main hurricanes that develop. But now changes that could cause more problems for the coming season are underway.

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Even if it is a relatively regular event, there are still some key differences that distinguish the conditions for this year from past years. Noaa meteorologists now say that this year "Super El Niño" led to even warmer temperatures , describing it as "historically strong", USA today reports. But they now predict that the heat of the Pacific may have succeeded in its peak and will begin to decrease while affecting weather conditions until April.

But while changes may seem to announce a back to normal , forecasts also point out that there is a "historical tendency for the Niña to follow the strong events of El Niño". The term describes the opposite conditions, which involve more cold ocean surface temperatures than normal in the Pacific. In its initial forecasts, the agency quotes 55% chance that the cooler version is developing one day Between June and August This year.

"It is not often that we have an opinion from El Niño and a day before the Niña at the same time", " Tom di Liberto , a climatologist at the NOAA, said The Washington Post . However, he added that he was also "not uncommon" for the Niña to follow a particularly warm El Niño, citing at least two other consecutive appearances in the past four decades.

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Unfortunately, the Niña brings its own set of meteorological effects with it. Namely, it tends to dry the conditions in the southwest of the United States and southern California while preparing the track for more frequent and more powerful hurricanes to train on the Atlantic Ocean, The Washington Post reports.

According to the National Weather Service (NWS), it is because the West winds tend to weaken during the Niña, reducing the shear of the wind which can Interrupt brewing storms . This increases not only the number of storms overall, but "also allows stronger hurricanes to form".

Other experts have underlined this potentially problematic transition in their forecasts. "A return in the conditions of the Niña quickly during the summer could lead to a Active tropical season , " Paul Pastelok , a long -term meteorological expert for Accuweather, wrote in a recent prediction.

And it is not only more intense storms: the Niña always affects the standard weather conditions, often bringing an opposite set of conditions that its hot water counterpart. This means heavier precipitation in the northwest states and northern plains, colder weather in the northeast and warmer and warmer weather in the south, by The post office . AE0FCC31AE342FD3A1346EBB1F342FCB

In a message published on X (formerly Twitter) on February 8, Philip Klotzbach , a meteorologist at the Colorado State University, stressed that the probabilities of the NOAA for the Niña developing during the peak months of the hurricane season of this year in August to October had resuscitated from 64% at 74% . However, despite the prospects, he warned that it was still not A fury conclusion .

"It should be noted that this is only February, and many things can change from here and when the Atlantic Hurricane season really accelerates (generally from start to mid-August)," said Klotzbach.

In addition to hurricanes, upcoming weather data this year could also shed light on another long -term problem. Scientists say that, because El Niño historically strong this year could have helped to push global temperatures to record heights for eight consecutive months, a peak of sustained temperature during the Niña could help determine if the planet knows an acceleration of the acceleration of global warming, The post office reports. Scientists also hope to understand better if climate change also affects El Niño and the Niña themselves.

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