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At some point during the pandemic, you have probably taken you wonder if they are quarantined and respecting weirdsafety instructions made a difference in the fight againstThe propagation of coronavirus. With the social and economic stress pantouflard orders have put the country through in recent months, it is natural to wonder: "Was it worth it? Well, a new research paper from the University of California, Berkeley, confirms that, yes, it was absolutely-becauseWithout these policies, it could have been 60 million more-covid 19 cases.

"Our results suggest that ongoing anti-contagion policies have already significantly reduced the number of Covid-19 infections observed in today's world," the authors of the study in their research, published in the journalNature.

The authors felt that in six countries, China, South Korea, Italy, Iran, France and the United States-interventions such as travel restrictions, labels, and social distance prevented or delayed About 62 million cases confirmed with COVID-19, which translates into to avoid a total of about 530 million infections.

Adjustment To determine the effect of "large scale of anti-contagion policies on the CVVID-19 pandemic," Research on the primary data compiled 1717 national, regional and non-pharmaceutical interventions deployed in the six countries mentioned above. They then applied "reduced-shaped econometric techniques" generally used to measure the effects of economic growth events, considering that the lack of government intervention policies, at the beginning of infection per day rates would have increased, On average, 5 percent in the six counties causing the number of cases to double at a rate of about 48 hours.

Base their predictions on the results of the data simulation and forecasting models, the authors of the document believe that in the United States alone, there would be 4.8 million cases confirmed (60 million infections in total) of coronavirus had the country not taken the differentMEASURES AND PRECAUTIONS LOCKDOWN SAFETY He did it during the pandemic. The researchers also estimated 37 million additional cases (285 million total infections) in China, 11.5 million (38 million infections in total) in South Korea, 2.1 million (49 million total infections ) In Italy, 5 million (54 million infections in total) in Iran, and 1.4 million (45 million infections in total) in France.

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While the authors of the study note that the "real" effects of these intervention policies are unknown, they say their estimates based on data contain a level of precision that makes them very useful in the future of the catch. decision.

"These results can help inform whether or when these policies should be deployed, intensified or lifted," they write. "They can support decision-making in other 180 as well as countries where COVID-19 has been reported. And to learn more about cases where coronaviruses seem to slow down, seeAll states that did not have coronaviruses last week.