This state could face a "complete stop", declares the epidemiologist
"It could be our last chance for correction of courses," state epidemiologists said in a memo.
While pandemic coronavirus continues, some states are doing better than others. The reopening continues across the country, but many experts warn that all areas are not ready to return to normal. The growing number of people in some states invited calls to aReturn to Lockdown, withNew restrictions Also emerging from trying to slow the spread of the virus. The situation in a state has increased to the point that the state epidemiologist is now suggesting a total stop until the epidemic can be contained. "We are in the acceleration phase of theCovid-19 epidemic in Utah"State epidemiologistAngela Dunn, MD, wrote in a shared memo with Fox 13.
She continued: "We arrive quickly at a point where the only viable option to handle propagation and deaths will be a complete closure. This could be our last chance for course correction. Contact tracing and tests alone will not control that this epidemic. "
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According toThe New York Timesthere are currently around17,570 cases of coronavirus in Utahand this number increases regularly. June 22, the statebroken his recording of new daily cases With 643 - a set of records the day before June 21, with 586 new cases.
Utah uses aColor coded system to express the risk of current coronavirus. According to Fox 13, "UTAH has increased in cases since the state has settled on" yellow "or a low risk of CVIV-19 around the commemorative day". In his memo, Dunn says that the colors are the tool "key messaging tool to the public" and recommends that "if we do not reach an average of 7 days of 7 days of 200 / per day before July 1, we must move the entire state to orange. "
COVID ACT Now, a group of experts who analyze the available data and determine the level of risk of each state for the propagation of coronavirus, uses their own color coded system. They already already have Utah to an "orange", which connotes aHigh level of risk. This is based on the state infection rate (the number of people than the average person infects) of 1.12 and the positive test rate of 10.2%. These numbers suggest two things: 1) cases increase and 2) not be done enough tests. Utah also lacks contact traces, with only enough available to follow 54% of cases, according to analysts.
And while Covid Act is now believing at UTAH has enough ICU beds available forHigh-risk coronavirus patients, The Dunn memo includes surprising specificities: Healthcare Intermountain, which provides to the hospital and other medical services in the state, said it would beExceed the capacity of the ICU In July, the health of Utah University could exceed the capacity of four to eight weeks.
In order to avoid a total stop, the Dunn memo exhorts the state toFace coatings of the mandate "Either by the government or the application of business." If the government of the state refuses to do so, it continues: "We need to be clear with the public about why decisions are reducing economic restrictions - economic and not health. Be clear about how these decisions are made and makes them. "And for more states that may have problems, consult these5 states that "lose control" of coronavirus, says doctor.