That's how much you are likely to get coronavirus this year, says the doctor

Your chances of becoming COVID-19 by 2021 could be much higher than you think.


Throughout the country, many officials have put steps in place to prevent citizens from becoming CVIV-19, stickers weight on the ground to encourage social distancing toMandated face masks in public. However, all these preventive protocols may not be successful because of the reluctance of many Americans to respect. With rising figures, a top doctor now estimates that an important part of the population will have had CIVID-19 by 2021, which means they will get coronavirus this year, if they have not already done so.

Former FDA and doctor commissionerScott Gottlieb, MD, seems confirmed that the Community propagation of the virus is already out of hand. On June 29, Gottlieb told CNBC: "As we arrive at the end of this year, probably close toHalf of the population will have coronavirus, and that's if we stay right at our current rate. He points out thatCases accelerate quicklyand that thedoubling rate-How many days for the number of cases of coronaviruses, hospitalizations or deaths to two days at 40 days, which it predicts will fall even lower.

Many cases that the United States is currently finding are concentrated in the United States. Gottlieb noted that there were "about 30 states now a reproduction number that is above one, so they have an expanding epidemic, so it's an aggravated image".

People wearing masks on train
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A reproduction number determines the potential of an epidemic propagation at a precise time. According to Jama Network, aReproduction number In a manner, a secondary infection is caused by the initial infections, while a number of reproduction of two averages of two secondary infections is caused by the initial infection, and those infected continues and affect an average of two people.

Due to higher reproduction numbers in more than half of the states, the montage virus faster than we can not control it. While some states haveRolled reopinities, Gottlieb said that it does not feel that it will suffice to save the states indicating ahigh point In cases due to the propagation of the omnipresent community that has already occurred. Measures such as the break of the reopinitions andclosing bars are "too incremental". According to Gottlieb, states will have to take"More dramatic" measures To help mitigate the spread of the virus.

"For each infection they diagnose, there are at least 10 or 15 infections behind that," said Gottlieb. "They have tens of thousands of infections out there [in the southern states] circulating in the communities."

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According to Gottlieb, a potentially positive aspect of half of the virus-contracting population is that fewer people will have to be vaccinated. While it's pretty confidentThere will be a vaccine at the beginning of 2021He believes that we will not need "to vaccinate the entire population because many people will have already had this when we arrive at a vaccination". And for additional opinions on the state of the country, aTop U.S. Official warns our "Farm Window" to control coronavirus.

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Categories: Health
Tags: Coronavirus
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