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It seemed like theworst of the pandemic I had already exceeded the United States until the Delta variant appeared, spreading more than twice as easily than the previous versions of the virus. ThisThe variant has already exceeded The country, edifying objectives to reopen the workplaces, throwing a key in plans back to school and bring backMask requirements. But the hard effects of the Delta variant could be about to go out, because the worst of overvoltage seems to be in the past for some states.

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Scott Gottlieb, MD, a virus expert and a former head of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), told CNBC that he believesThe overvoltage of the delta has reached its peak in the southern states. "I thought there was an indication that the toucher culminating and I think it's pretty clear now that the South culminated," he said during an interview 23 August onSafe.

Many southern states, such as Arkansas and Louisiana, have been particularly affected by the alternative delta this last summer, largely to these states with lower vaccination rates than those in the North. But as Gottlieb noted: "You look at the states like Arkansas and Louisiana, you see the cases downhill." According toThe New York Times,New cases in Arkansas decreased by 3% over the last two weeks and in Louisiana,New abandoned cases 13% within the same period.

Gottlieb also pointed outEstimated transmission rate Calculated by public health researchers in Harvard and Yale. The researchers measure transmission through the refiler model; When the R-next in an area is 1, it indicates that the average person infected with COVID, there will be another person. When it is less than 1, it indicates that the propagation of the virus is declining.

"The expansion rate of this epidemic is less than 1 in most southern, which shows a contrasting epidemic," said Gottlieb.

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This does not mean that there are still no persistent effects from the overvoltage of the Delta variant in the South, Gottlieb continued. "It does not look like this because we still have a lot of new daily infections, and hospitals still have very difficult weeks to come," he said, noting that the hospitals of the South are "still going. to be maximized because infections begin to fall. "

And all states are not beyond the worst, either. On August 13, the former FDA chief told CNBC that the Tri-State region of New York, New Jersey and Connecticut will begin to seeDelta cases increase Once they slow down in the south.

"It's a great country and the Delta wave will sweep the country in a regional way. In September, I hope you will see on the other side of this curve in the south very clearly, but the cases will win in The Northeast, the Great Lakes region, perhaps the north-west of the Pacific, "predicted Gottlieb.

He added that it is likely that the overvoltage of the Delta moves throughout the country in September and October. "I hope we will be on the other side or come across the other in November, and we will not see a big infection push after that on the other side of this wave of Delta" , did he declare.

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